The Ultimate Truth to Guide Nigeria’s Rescue Mission to Success.

OBANSANJO & BUHARI IN ULTIMATE TRUTH

In January, 2023, Generals Obasanjo and Muhammadu Buhari were variously quoted to have reiterated the obvious, which must guide our attitude to the new leader and government, from their experience as men who had had the rear privilege of ruling Nigeria twice each, first, as military heads of state and second, as elected presidents which they served out for two terms of four years each. The Ultimate truth they reiterated is that no leader or government can solve Nigeria’s problems alone and they were absolutely correct.

Now let us see how the great Plato couched this Ultimate Truth more than 2000years ago when the model countries were learning the art of economic development. Hear him:  

“When a country runs into a situation where every new government that emerges makes the tenure of its predecessors to look more like an age of gold, it is a clear indication that the base knowledge that is guiding the country’s growth work has grown obsolete. Unless the elite community use the genius in their collective capacity to fix a new base knowledge, even a team of angels seconded from heaven cannot get the country out of the vicious cycle” Inherent to transition phase of development.

Of course, this is the basic element of the nature’s law that guides economic development and it is not likely to change because it is now the turn of Nigeria.

Now, let us see the position of all Nigerian governments since 2001 when the effort of the African leaders to develop the alternative knowledge to fix these crises derailed, so that we can be sure that unless we work in harmony with the next leader to fix today’s complicated problems, the next government will have no choice but to continue with wild experiments that brought our nation to today’s complications and that would be most unfortunate.

Below  are the various governments’ perspectives on the Ultimate truth:

For Obasanjo’s government:

Dr. Lekan Balogun, was the first to make the confession in 2002, apparently speaking the mind of the National Planning Commission that coordinates the management of the economy for Obasanjo’s government. Lekan Balogun was then the chairman, Senate Committee oversighting the National Planning Commission. Here was how he couched his confession:

“I think we are in serious confusion; the economy is comatose. It’s lying critically ill. It needs surgical operation. We have a contradiction here: the government has not managed the economy very well and there is no better alternative. I can say that we are faced with a revolutionary situation where the people no longer want to be led the old way and there is no new ways or viable alternative in sight. I don’t know what we are faced with…. The president is patriotic and committed to righting the wrongs of the economy. But I don’t know if he has enough skills, enough good advisers to handle the constitutional problems”

The next on the line was Professor Chukwuma Soludo, a lead economist in Obasanjo’s government also in 2002, apparently responding to Lekan Balogun’s confession. His response:

“For the size of the Nigerian economy, what we need for real growth is not an incremental

change; that may not take us far. What we need is revolution in all the facets of our economy. A revolution that would make us break from the past”.

Economic revolution is the other expression for economic transformation or restructuring and we shall see Soludo’s honest account of the efforts of successive governments to transform the nation’s economy shortly to fully understand the message of the erudite scholar.

The next on the line is President Olusegun Obasanjo himself apparently using a tactical strategy, as a proud man to call for help in 2005. Here him:

“The economy is too serious a matter to be left in the hand of one group alone. All of us must have our eyes and hands in the economy. That is the only way we can get to where we want to be and how to get there”. Sure the economy is too big a business to be left in the hand of one man or one group to manage. It is everywhere the business of collective effort: the challenge there as always is what is the ideal formation or institutional arrangement that will guarantee successful management of the economy by collective effort. This is one question only effective system can answer correctly which is why the system is the ultimate solution.

The next person on the line is Dr. Festus Osunsade who was the Micro Economic Adviser to the then Vice President Alhaji Atiku Abubakar. His confession came in the form of advice to Nigerians apparently to avoid any backlash from his principals. Hear him:

“We must resist the temptation to burden the government with roles they cannot perform; (in economy management): the government, by so doing, will look ridiculous”.

First who is the government that Dr. Osunsade was referring to? The government is the President and his Vice. Second, what is the role that the government cannot play in economy management you may ask? The roles that governments do not and cannot play in economy management is to design and deliver successful economy policies: their ideal role is to supervise the working of the systems that design and deliver economy policies to ensure that every aspect of their output reflects the will and interest of the majority. Unless the system is right, both the government and society cannot get their economy right. Conversely, to place the burden of fixing an economy with systemic problem on the government will only expose them to ridicule which will be of no benefit to either the critics or the society at large. This was the unspoken part of Dr. Osunsade’s confession.

The next person on the line is Professor Chukwuma Soludo once again, with the ultimate solution to our nation’s problem and the evidence that the current development education, not just the experts produced by it has no answer to the problem. Here him:

“The issue is no longer whether institutions matter (in the economic growth work of Nigeria)…There is only one fundamental question that needs serious analytical attention, namely, how to design and introduce effective and efficient institutions (in our economic development and growth work) … “For Nigeria to make rapid progress in the quest to join the First World Economy, it has to run at extra ordinary speed in the creation, adaptation and enforcement of relevant institutions…institutional arrangement (which we call system) make all the difference”

Sure to design and adopt a new and superior system is the central issue in economic revolution, transformation or restructuring and it gets any transition economy that achieves it into the knowledge phase of development where new and real economic growth resumes after transition crisis which, everywhere, resolves all other collateral issues to get the economy firmly onto the high way to its destiny so that in no time it will get there. This is what ends the country’s transition troubles permanently. It is therefore the real deal.

 Now, to what extent does the current development knowledge and education, not just regular experts, understand this magic capacity called institution and system?

Professor Bernard Schwartz, then of John Hopkins University USA, was to provide the answer in very clear terms below:

“There has been growing consensus within the development policy community that institutions and state capacity are critical to growth and cannot be taken for granted in many poor countries. The problem we face, however, is that while we understand the importance of state institutions, we do not have good strategies for creating them in (third world) societies with weak demand for them”.

And on his own part, our own Professor Chukwuma Soludo has this to say on the subject: “for me, the missing link is even greater: I am still a new student of the subject”. This is wherethe great potentials of Nigeria and the Nigerian economy have been locked over the years and not the failure of leadership as the commonsense emphasize: unless we use the genius in our collective wisdom and capacity to resolve the institutions and systemic problem before the next government arrives, the government will go the way of its predecessor without fail, and that will mean more troubles for our nation and economy, for that is the nature’s law and it cannot change because it is now the turn of Nigeria.

Enter President Umaru Musa Yar’Adua’s government.

There are three members of Yar’Adua’s  government that made the confession: First is President Yar’Adua himself; Second is Yayale Ahmed, Secretary to the Government of the Federation (SGF) at the time and; Third, Dr. Shamsudeen Usman who was the then finance minister and head of economic management team of the administration. Dr. Usman’s confession was precise, presents the real issue in a dimension different from the way others did and conveyed the real message very appropriately and we choose to use his confession to demonstrate the position of the administration on the subject. Below was how he couched the administration’s confession:

“To solve the problem of our nation’s economy, the economy must be restructured. And the discussions on how to restructure the economy must be organized by those of you (Nigerians) outside the government, as those of us inside will not have the time that it would require to do justice to such a fundamental subject.”

This confession by Dr. Shamsudeen Usman is simple and straight to the point that it requires no additional analysis for anyone to understand.

Enter the government of President Goodluck Jonathan.

Three members of his cabinet also made the confession: First was Dr. Olusegun Aganga; Second President Goodluck Jonathan himself and Third Dr Ngozi Okonjo Iweala. We will use the submission of President Good luck Jonathan and Ngozi Okonjo Iweala as for the position of the administration in the confession. We will also add Professor Soludo in this pack because of the relevance of his strategic confession on the subject in 2012. Here is the first submission of Goodluck Jonathan which he made on the 24th of October 2010 while opening the Non-oil conference in Abuja:

“We cannot afford to continue with a ‘business as usual’ approach based on foreign crafted development paradigms (orthodox development concept). If we do, Nigeria will remain among the poorest countries of the world”. And at the grave side of Professor Chinua Achebe, President Goodluck Jonathan was to add value to his first confession to make his message complete. He told the audience thus:

People have always said that the problem of our nation is lack of political will to implement good ideas. Now I am on the sit, if you have the good idea bring it and I will implement it.

This was a clear confirmation that the big idea or the new or alternative paradigm which he said was required to turn around the fortune of our nation’s economy does not exist in his government.

The next person on the line is professor chukwuma Soludo who had to intervene with the truth about the efforts of our political leaders to fix the nation’s economy which is not known to many Nigerians to save President Goodluck Jonathan from unnecessary vilification at the time. Below was how he couched the strategic confession:

“For 50 years since 1962, the central objective of economic policy has been a transformation or diversification of the economy away from dependence on primary commodities. It has not happened, and will probably not happen in the foreseeable future”.

And in 2013, Dr Ngozi okonjo Iweala, the then Finance and Coordinating Minister of the economy was to draw the nation’s attention to the danger of our continuous use of the deficient orthodox development concept, which her principal, President Goodluck Jonathan described as foreign crafted development paradigm three years early, to manage our nation’s economy.

Below was how she couched her confession:

“Growth in the economy benefits only 10% of the population, inequality is on the increase and the growth is not creating the jobs–this will surely lead our nation and economy to severe troubles: if we don’t put our mind in job creation, the economy will fall into greater troubles”.

This Ngozi Okonjo Iweala’s confession is too important and directly connected to today’s complications and therefore needs to be simplified so that the core message is not lost. What she meant is this: the orthodox development concept or paradigm has structured the economy to work for only 10% of the population, pushing large numbers of citizens who are co- owners of the Nigeria project to extreme conditions and it is not creating the jobs. If the Nigerian elites do not provide the alternative concept that will enable the government to change the current orthodox development concept and its deficient growth strategy such that will restructure the economy so that it is able to work for all Nigerians or significant majority of the citizens our country will be in for big troubles. We do not need a prophet to now tell us that these 2010 and 2013 predictions of President Goodluck Jonathan and Dr. Ngozi Okonjo Iweala are what have come to pass in today’s complications.

Then enter President Muhammadu Buhari’s administration.

Four persons also made the confession: First the Vice President Professor Yemi Osinbajo SAN at the 2016 edition of Daily Trust Dialogue; Second President Muhammadu Buhari himself at the 2016 Bola Tinubu Colloquium; Third Kemi Adeosun, Buhari’s first Finance Minister at the Lagos Business School in 2016 and Fourth Dr Uche Oga, the Minister of State for Solid Mineral in 2021.

We will take the confession of President Muhammadu Buhari himself and Dr Uche Oga, which presents the subject matter in different perspective, to demonstrate the position of the administration.

First is the confession of President Muhammadu Buhari himself:

“We can achieve more with partnerships that link up and scale our respective efforts. I am declaring that we need a new approach that challenges more state and local governments, more organizations, more companies, more development partners, more NGOs, challenges individuals …to step up and play a role- because government cannot and should not do this alone.”

It is important to know that there are two approaches to economic development: the orthodox development approach or concept and the Alternative Development approach or concept. Nigeria has been using the orthodox development concept or approach since independence: so the President’s declaration that Nigeria needs a new approach is simply a call for Alternative Development Concept, which is indeed what Nigeria needs to activate the secondary growth window so that her economy is fully able to meet the extra needs of her extra population on a sustainable basis.

 And the second is Dr Uche Oga:

‘Nigeria needs a new development ideology to tackle unemployment which he said is “a national concern” ‘

What Dr. Oga did in this smallest quote in the pack was simply to confirm that six years after Buhari confessed that alternative development concept is indeed required to fix the economy, that government cannot do the job without the support of Nigerians and had called on those who can to come forward and assist, the government is yet to receive any and therefore is left with no choice but to continue with the deficient orthodox concept or paradigm in different packages till this day and today’s complication is a just reward for sticking to the orthodox development concept long after our population has grown beyond the size that can be sustained by primary resources alone. Development ideology, by the way, is the same thing as development concept or paradigm.

Four important takeaways of this passage we must emphasize:

  1. All PDP and APC governments since 1999 had indeed rightly confessed that our nation’s transition problem is beyond the capacity of government and they are absolutely right: it will make no good sense for us to wait for the next government to move in the same direction so that we will continue with our blame games, for fixing blames don’t fix problems;
  • Their economists as with the global development community were also unanimous that the current development knowledge which is built around economics have no solution to our nation’s development crisis. They are right: when a country gets to this point, God will be bound by his love for man to induce special people to provide the new knowledge that will solve the problem and they will obey: the rule cannot change because it is now the turn of Nigeria;
  • The regular problems that countries do suffer at this point of development is that the civil servants and politicians around the leaders who benefit from the misfortune of the nation do not allow new ideas that can change the situation to get to the leaders and their sabotage is sustained by the orthodox concept, which build around one man the policy process that by the arrangement of nature ought to be built around effective system. Every country that is caught in this personalized policy web will be ravaged by systemic corruption until the policy process is restructured in favour of the system. This problem is not peculiar to Nigeria: it was exactly what the Great Montesquieu pointed out more than two hundred years before Nigeria appeared in the development map, “that it has eternally been observed that anyone who has power is led to abuse it, he continues until he finds limit: so that one does not abuse power, power must check power by the arrangement of things”. Using power to check power by the arrangement of things (introducing the system) can only be delivered by transformation which is not known to current development knowledge and therefore cannot and had never been delivered by government alone as Professor Soludo and Shamsudeen Usman also confirmed in their quotes above and;
  • Only the collective effort of key stakeholders that citizens and government can trust had helped transition countries to overcome the obstacles that the vandals do put on the path of new knowledge not only to get the new knowledge that solve this type of problems to the leaders but also to persuade them to ignore the civil servants and politicians that sabotage past efforts and work with the body of citizens promoting the new agenda to transform the nation and economy. Once this process is completed before a new government emerges, it will adopt the new concept and that will set the country free. This was exactly how the countries that we admire today made it and precisely what this intervention seeks to facilitate.

Let us conclude this piece by highlighting the three strategic habits that will give us victory this season:

  1. Conclusive negotiation and conversation on the final context of a new governance system, new development concept, new growth strategy and new development education that will align the mindset of young people with the habit of knowledge economy for sustainability,  or the total structure of the new Nigerian order that will work for all Nigerians and to mobilize broad national consensus about its core elements before the next government emerges;
  • To convince ourselves, our emotions and our friends that there is no leader out there that can fix our nation and economy until we use the genius in our collective wisdom and capacity to define how it should be done, as Shamsudeen Usman noted in 2008 and;
  • To resist the temptation to contest or dispute the outcome of the next election with the politicians. It simply means that after the Presidential election, one person must win and one person must lose: the loser will always dispute the results and try to stir-up divisive sentiments. We must not fight that course with them. If we do, the fight will divide us and the division will force the leader to fall back to politicians and top civil servants who make change impossible and the vicious cycle will continue for the next 8 years. But if we ignore the pleading of the loser, we will be able to get it winner to our side and persuade him to work with us to transform our nation according to the new agenda we have agreed on and he will obey.

The adoption of the new agenda will then transform our nation’s economy, deliver the new Nigeria that we desire and the new leader will take the credit for discovering the modern Nigeria. If the leader fails to take this chance, nature will step in to effect the change and the leader will end up a villain forever. This was exactly how successful transformation happened in history. The rule cannot change because it is the turn of Nigeria.

What is more, getting Nigeria out of this vicious cycle is not just about freeing millions of our compatriots already trapped in the margin of distress inadvertently, which is spreading hate and violence across our blessed nation, or about eliminating the predisposing conditions. It is also about busting the long-standing blackmail against our God to the effect that the Blackman may have been made of inferior cast intellectually. No nation have more burden or is better placed to get the black race out of this target of global racism than Nigeria and no time could be more auspicious for this historic assignment than now. You must please stand up to be counted and God will duly reward you even beyond the grave as you do so.

…………………………………. SANNEM Secretariat…………………………….

Fundamental Problems Are Not Solved At The Same Knowledge Level That Created Them.

The subject matter of this page is that Nigeria’s fundamental problems cannot be solved at the same knowledge level and development habits that created them.

The flip side of this observation is that we cannot even understand fundamental problems at the same knowledge level that created them.

This is the cardinal elements of the nature’s law that guides economic development made popular by the Great Albert Einstein of blessed memory and the doctrine speaks to our nation’s intractable development problems in four ways:

  1.  It  tells us that our country is faced with the most fundamental of all development challenges which is to move a transition economy up from the primary resource trap through the transition bridge to the knowledge phase of development where sustainable economy growth resumes after transition crisis which everywhere ends transition crisis permanently;
  2. That, by the arrangement of nature, every nation will need a new and peculiar development knowledge to be able to cross this bridge;
  3.  It also raises the question  of who between government and the people has the duty to provide  the new knowledge when a country is due to cross the transition bridge and;
  4. What does it take in practical terms to effectively deliver new and superior development knowledge when a country is at the peak of its transition crisis?

These harmless looking but most strategic issues in economic development, conspicuously missing in our current orthodox development knowledge and education are the real problems that has brought our dear nation Nigeria to today’s complex economic and security crisis, which we wrongly blame on leadership and governance failure. They are routine but philosophical issues that all nations are bound by nature’s law to resolve before they can move into the knowledge phase of development where sustainable peace and inclusive prosperity is possible.  These are intricate problems that leaders or governments do not and cannot resolve even if they have the new knowledge: unless we use the genius in our collective capacity to resolve these real issues before the next government emerges our country could be in for far more complicated problems than we can imagine, for that is the nature’s law. Thus how we can resolve these real problems, which hardly look like the real issues, to avert greater complications of tomorrow is what this this project seeks to facilitate.

Now the reality of these four strategic issues above and their absence in our current orthodox development knowledge and education was first spotted by a study team set up for this purpose by the Academic Staff Union of Universities (ASUU) in 1986. The leader of the team, Professor Ade Adefuye described their absence in our development knowledge and education as “British Orientation of Nigeria Universities” and warned that it has disoriented the products of Nigerian universities such that they could not really serve their environment.”

Thirteen years later, the global development community, set up another study team on the platform of the UN Economic Commission for Africa (UNECA) for the same purpose. The study confirmed the finding of the ASUU study team providing more sides to what is missing in our development knowledge. The outcome of this second studies formed the foundation of the 1999 Economic Report on Africa which was endorsed by all stakeholders including the African leaders. The study confirmed that these real problems identified above and the complex issues arising from them are actually missing in the orthodox development concept and education that has been guiding Africa’s economic growth work: and the report was emphatic that the absence of these elements in the orthodox development knowledge and education has rendered both fundamentally deficient such that they cannot lead any African country to a new economic height that will be sustainable which will be required to meet the growing needs of Africa’s exploding population without significant upgrade, even if the country is managed by angels. This directly brings us back to the subject of this paper which is that we cannot solve Nigeria’s fundamental problems at the same knowledge level that created them.

By the year 2000, the global development community invited African leaders to Davos, Switzerland where the details of the gaps or inadequacies of the current orthodox development concept and its education were handed over to them. The leaders endorsed the Report: explained their perspective on why the concept could not work for Africa and conceived New Africa Initiative which later became NEPAD by default to provide the new knowledge to upgrade the orthodox development concept and its education for the continent. But true to the subject matter of this paper which is that “fundamental problems cannot be solved at the same knowledge level that created them”, the effort failed. That left the managers of African economies, Nigeria inclusive, with no other option but to continue with the deficient orthodox concept and its education till this day.

Between the year 2000 and 2005, all the agencies of the global development community including the World Bank, IMF and UNESCO, revalidated their endorsement of the Report, providing more sides to the gaps and inadequacies of the orthodox development concept and its education. What is more, since 2001 when the effort by the African leaders to develop the Alternative Concept to fill the knowledge gap derailed, all Nigerian governments across partisan line, both the PDP and APC had also confirmed that a new concept is indeed required to get the nation’s economy out of the vicious cycle, confessed that government is not in the position to access and implement the alternative concept without organized support by the elite community, which is absolutely correct and had called on those who can to come forward and assist. Unfortunately, the current policy structure has no windows for alternative knowledge: this left all the governments with no other options but to continue with the deficient orthodox concept in different packages and this could not but build up to today’s complications.

This is indeed the basic truth of how and why our nation slid into today’s complications and how it can get out of it which must be noted. The flip side of this truth is this: history is absolutely clear that it takes only peculiarly structured Alternative Development Concept delivered by broad national engagement and consensus and inspired by knowledge and religious communities to get a transition country out of this type of complications. The rule cannot change because it is now the turn of Nigeria.

Now we must put all of the above analysis precisely in conventional format to make them very clear:

Let us start by asking what precisely is wrong with the current orthodox development concept and its education which has led our dear country Nigeria to today’s complications?

Simple: They have no lessons on economy proper, as distinct from economics which the regular knowledge understands. This may sound incredible, but it is the gospel truth. Economy defines the whole society organized to deliver real peace and inclusive prosperity that is able to keep reasonable pace with population growth: while economics is only a subject that teaches us how to manage a small part of the economy that deals with trade and investments or businesses if you like. While economy is a complete system that secures life and aspiration of a society, economics is only concerned with the prospect and profits of businesses and the security of the platform that puts the products of the economy to the service of consumption which is the market. So economy and economics are miles apart: the absence of economy in our base knowledge naturally structured our mindset for today’s disaster. 

 Because of the absence of economy in our current orthodox development concept and education, we do not have any idea of what it means to develop and grow the economy particularly when the local population grows beyond the size that can be sustained by primary resources alone. It also denies us the mercurial knowledge of the role of nature in economic development which is fundamental and the answer to the question of who between the government and the people play what role in economic transformation process which alone delivers sustainable economic growth at our current level of development. Sure, growing the economy at any height above the primary resource phase of development which, by the arrangement of nature, must begin with transformation is made very complex by the hand of nature such that it cannot be achieved by chance.  Given that we are human beings made to know by learning, not by instinct, the absence of this critical capacity in our base knowledge could not but lock our nation’s economy to perpetual dependence on primary commodities, a tradition which is everywhere prone to crisis. This is the real issue that has built up to today’s wide spread security challenges in our nation, not the failure of leadership or governance.

But complications crept into the problem through the fact that while the current concept and its education have no lessons on the economy proper, they have copious lessons on economics. Given the similarities of the word economy and economics and the fact that economy have no department in the university, anyone who is exposed to modern education will be induced by the disorientation that Professor Adefuye talked about above to think and believe that economy and economics are the same and that those who are trained in economics are also experts in economy, which is absolutely untrue. But in the absence of any appropriate classification of how economics relates to the economy any government that emerges would be induced by the same disorientation to engage the best of economists available and charge them with the responsibility of transforming the economy so that the country will be able to get more from the global economy to meet the extra needs of its extra population, an exercise that is absolutely unknown to economics that produce the economists. But any group that government engages to do the job, will be induced by the same disorientation to think and believe that they know what to do; as they go to work on the basis of this misconception, they will end up creating more problems for the economy than they set out to solve inadvertently though. With every failed effort, those associated with the failure will be induced by the same disorientation to distort the context of their failure inadvertently also.  With every failed regime, the audible section of the elite community will go to town blaming the failure on the lack of vision or political will to do what is right on the part of the political leader: and in the absence of any convincing response to debunk the obvious misinformation, the national dialogue space will amplify it to look like the gospel truth and this will prepare the misinformation for the vicious cycle.

When a new government emerges, the leaders will think that the problem is in the incompetence of its predecessor as the national dialogue space promotes, and that will plunge it head-on into the vicious cycle by engaging another set of economists and charging them with the same responsibility. The new team will be induced by the same orientation to think and believe that they can do the job. They will go to work with the same strategy arranged in different formation; get the same result as their predecessors, react the same way as their predecessors and the audible section of the elite community will again return to the street with the same blame game. This time the context of the blame game has changed: the new culprit is now the leadership recruitment process and the larger Nigerian society seem to have fallen in love with the new culprit.

This is exactly what has rolled our nation’s development problems into a vicious cycle that keep reinforcing itself to perpetuate decline, as the Tony Blair Commission for Africa clinically observed. Unless we break this vicious cycle before the next government emerges the trend will certainly get progressively worse until we land in the coast of Libya or Somalia where we will be forced to do the needful in a harder way. Let us see how Professor Chukwuma Soludo couched this reality in 2012 to understand the complexity of what we are dealing with. Hear him and I quote: “For 50 years since 1962, the central objective of economic policy has been a transformation or diversification of the economy away from dependence on primary commodities. It has not happened, and will probably not happen in the foreseeable future”.

This message is clear enough and requires no further analysis.

The next question now is:

How do we get our country out of this complications?

The answer was provided for us in a snap shot by His Eminence Cardinal Paulo Everisto Arns a former Archbishop of Sao Paulo, from the practical experience of his home country Brazil. Here him and I quote “Alternatives must be identified; must be given legitimacy and must be set in motion. Political and economic alternatives are the hope of the third world”

 Now what does His Eminence’ solution mean to Nigeria?

Simple: He was confirming the subject matter of this paper from the Brazilian experience which is that we cannot solve our political and economic problem, which are the most fundamental of development problems, at the same knowledge level and development habits that created them, and he was absolutely correct.

Now here is the conventional context of His Eminence’ solution for clarity:  The only solution to our nation’s complex development crisis is the adoption of Alternative to the Orthodox Development Concept and this must be done through broad national engagement, which will then activate a new development orientation that will unite the perspectives of the government and the people on all issues going forward. Unfortunately, the Alternative development concept and broad national engagement are not known to economics around which modern development education which produce regular experts that manage the society and economy is built, and that is where the problem had been locked. 

Now Alternative Development concept is the superior natural formula to transform, manage and grow a transition economy when the local population grows beyond the size that can be sustained by the primary resources alone. It predicates economic growth on knowledge and the superior system that converts human capital capacity to national wealth. Once a country adopts alternative concept, the superior system will activate the secondary growth window and the productivity capacities of the economy so that the economy is fully able to do just about anything including creating a diversity of secondary domestic products that can compete globally which will then enable the country to create enough jobs for its people and to get enough resources from the global economy to meet the extra needs of its extra population on a sustainable basis. This everywhere entrench real peace and inclusive prosperity that will sustain through ages.

A key feature of the alternative concept is that it will provide the leverage to deploy high capacity innovation to resolve complications where they exist: In the case of our dear country, it will enable us to, on the one hand, expand the nation’s security capabilities within a very short time and on the other, end large scale unemployment, extreme conditions and criminal inequality to complement force in the effort to end the wide spread security challenges in our nation.

The Broad National Engagement on the other hand is the critical success factor of the Alternative Concept. Apart from reconciling the citizens with the government along the path of all that is true and just for the nation, it will also familiarize society with the unconventional strategy that will guide the nation across the transition bridge and the alternative to the economists in the control post of governance and economic management so that government will easily adjust to guiding the economy along the new and ideal direction in partnership with the elite community instead of the Ministries, Departments and Agencies as envisaged by true democracy. In the new dispensation, alternative to the economist will take over the responsibility of providing policy options from which government will be making informed policy choices that works while government retires to supervising policy implementation, managing emergencies and such other marginal areas of the economy that requires governance flexibility to succeed but which cannot be abused in any way.

This process everywhere entrenches integrity in domestic relation and restores the collective ownership of the national economy which is the other expression for national justice, guarantees the commitment of the majority to the success of the national economy at all times and eliminates the chances of the economy pushing large numbers to extreme conditions where they will have to be forced by circumstances beyond their control to stake their lives and freedom for survival. This will then guarantee real peace and inclusive prosperity that will sustain through ages in the nation. This is exactly what our dear nation Nigeria needs to exit today’s complications.

The beauty of the new agenda which will guarantee its acceptability to all stakeholders is that it will:

  1. Introduce only the fourth arm and the most important growth driver when local population outgrows the capacity of the primary resources, which is knowledge: the other three preferred growth drivers being oil and gas, agriculture and solid minerals;
  2. Knowledge growth driver will run smoothly alongside the three preferred growth drivers until it establishes its superiority by which time government will need no advocacy to make knowledge and factors that support its efficiency first line charges on investment priority, which will then stabilize the economy at the knowledge phase;
  3. Knowledge growth driver will create far more jobs than the three preferred growth drivers put together and at no extra cost to the government;
  4. It will boost government revenue on all fronts and;
  5. It will cost government nothing but its coordinating office to execute, as the knowledge growth driver has the inherent capacity to generate more than enough resources for its full implementation from the dormant capacities of the economy.

Thus, the alternative agenda is a win-win situation for everyone with absolutely no disadvantage whatsoever. Although all governments desire and had actually called for this new agenda, they cannot adopt it unless it is supported by elite consensus, and this is precisely what we must mobilize to guarantee the success of the next dispensation.

Let us conclude by stating emphatically that history is absolutely clear that it is the citizens, not government, that provides the alternative knowledge that guides economies across transition bridge when they are due, which is the other expression for economic transformation: and like the Biblical Joseph of the ancient Egypt, we believe strongly that God has given us the complete set of the Alternative Development Concept that will end our nation’s complex economic and security challenges permanently. All that is remaining now is a broad national partnership to put the new knowledge to broad national conversation and to guide the conversation to elite consensus so that it is fully able to generate the soft capacities that work with alternative concept to end transition crisis permanently. Once we are able to accomplish this before the next government emerges, it will have no choice but to adopt the new knowledge. This will not only bring today’s troubles to a permanent end, it will also resolve all the other collateral issues to get our nation’s economy firmly on the high way to its great destiny so that in no time it will get there. This was exactly how the countries that we admire today made it and this rule cannot change because it is now the turn of Nigeria.

We urge everyone who has gone through this article to please stand up to be counted and we thank you so much as you do so.

God bless Nigeria.